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Where Did Voter ID Signatures Come From?

March 11, 2010
tags: voter ID
by Brett

Earlier this week, Secretary of State Delbert Hosemann gave the thumbs up to the signatures from the Voter ID ballot initiative. Using the Majority In Mississippi PVI, our friend JackCUDA, came up with some interesting statistical data on where the bulk of the signatures came from.

Probably not too surprising, but 58.1 percent of the total certified signatures came from MIM Republican PVI counties (those that have given the GOP at least 57 percent of the vote in the last four statewide elections). Further, 77.5 percent of all signatures were collected from MIM PVI counties where the GOP average was 50 percent or better.

Top 20 Signature Counties:

Top 10 MIM PVI GOP Counties:

Top 10 MIM PVI Democrat Counties:

We will also be working on the MIM PVI to make it more informative for readers, as well as bringing you more statistical goodies.

5 Comments leave one →
  1. Mississippi Elitist permalink
    March 11, 2010 10:59 am

    I wonder what the margin of error is as result of population variances. For instance Sunflower county does not have anywhere near the population that Madison county does therefore 952 signatures in Sunflower might actually be a better number than 4600 in Madison on a per capita basis. I would just think Dem or GOP would be in favor of one legal person equals one i.d. verified legal vote.

    • March 11, 2010 11:52 am

      One of the things we are actually working on is weighing these numbers we are putting out there- especially for the PVI- to give a more complete reading to them. Stay tuned.

    • JackCUDA permalink
      March 18, 2010 10:47 am

      Using July 2008 Census data Sunflower (pop. 30697) works out to .031 signatures per person while Madison (pop. 91369) works out to .051 signatures per person.

      Here are the top 5 from above.

      1. Desoto (pop. 154748) = .054 signatures per person
      2. Hinds (pop. 247650) = .033 signatures per person
      3. Jackson (pop. 130694) = .056 signatures per person
      4. Warren (pop. 48087) = .126 signatures per person
      5. Rankin (pop. 140901) = .042 signatures per person

      Considering Pete’s commentary it looks like the real story is in Warren County. I did a quick check: 1] in 2000 the VAP in Warren was 35476; 2] total voters in the 2008 General was 21573 (McCain 51.29%) ; 3] total voters in the 2007 General was 13359 (Barbour 59.74%).

  2. Pete Perry permalink
    March 11, 2010 2:19 pm

    This is interesting, but not surprising. This initiative was promoted and driven by the Republican Party, so it seems obvious that where the Republicans are the strongest you would get the most signatures. Although there are some surprises – weighing the population with the number of signatures will produce many of those. But the real issue is that these numbers are misleading – there were many more signatures gathered that are not included in the “certified totals”, particularly in the first and third Congressional Districts. These were the first two districts to reach the “magic total” and so efforts were put on the other three districts. When petitions had signatures from multiple counties, oftentimes they were not sent to the clerks in the first and third districts for certification but were certified in the three remainind districts. As the drive approached the end and all districts had met the goal, these “multi-county” petitions often didn’t get sent to all the counties regardless of the district. Point is, many of the counties, both GOP leaning or not, in CD 1 and CD3 have many more signatures than included in these certified totals.

  3. Hnery permalink
    March 17, 2010 3:17 pm

    Unless ACORN are Liberals do something it must illegal. Some of you people make me sick. Why is it that you never see a liberal smile. Why are you people alway so unhappy? Try getting a life. Life really is a lot of fun. Try it sometime.

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