Travis Childers: The Most Vulnerable Incumbent Democrat In The House?
The NRCC is pushing the release of two well-respected sources providing their latest House ratings which both put Rep. Travis Childers as the most vulnerable incumbent Democrat in the House. This does not mean this is the seat most likely to flip, just the one with an incumbent Democrat most likely to switch parties (the only incumbent rated higher was Republican Jospeh Cao in LA-02). The other seats are open due to retirements or candidates seeking another office. But at a time when Republicans are expected to pick up two dozen or so seats, it is hard picture a scenario where that happens and Childers survives.
Here is the latest analysis from National Journal and Chris Cillizza who blogs for the Washington Post at The Fix.