The Effect Of Bill Clinton’s Endorsement
When Bill Clinton came down to Oxford to campaign with Travis Childers, one of the first questions raised was what kind of effect will this have on the race. Is bringing in a national Democrat a good thing for a Democrat that works so hard to say he is independent and not influenced by the national party?
According to a national Gallup poll, Clinton is certainly a more popular figure than Barack Obama, but his campaign effect is essentially nothing- not positive, not negative. When asked on the difference an endorsement from Clinton makes, 21 percent of independents said it would make them more likely to vote for that candidate, while 23 percent said less likely. So a net of negative two, which statistically doesn’t mean much. The majority- 54 percent- said Clinton’s backing makes no difference.
As for whether or not this would enrage Republicans- many of whom voted for Travis Childers in 2008- 44 percent said his endorsement made no difference which I thought was surprisingly high. That basically shows that about half don’t care either way.
The results did find, however, that Clinton helps more with Democrats (a net positive of 48) than he hurts with Republicans (a net negative of 37). So maybe the hope of last week’s trip was to excite the base while trying not to lose too many independent and conservative voters.