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More On Mississippi’s “Youth Movement”

December 18, 2010
by Brett

Yesterday I talked about the cycles that Mississippi has gone through over the last 70 or so years regarding Senate members. Many have generally opined that voters like to return veteran incumbents, which is generally true, but over the next couple cycles I would expect some more turnover and the delegation will only get younger in terms of experience.

Lets look at what we may see in 2014:

There is a good chance Thad Cochran retires rather than running for another term. Therefore, he will be replaced by a freshman Senator. Roger Wicker, with six years experience (at that point), will be the state’s senior Senator.

In the House, I wouldn’t be shocked to see Bennie Thompson retiring either. I certainly have no insight but after serving in the majority the minority isn’t much fun. At the same time, Gregg Harper will have six years experience with four each for Steven Palazzo and Alan Nunnelee.

So if we were to indeed have two freshman in 2014, Harper and Wicker would be the senior members of the delegation with six years in D.C. The six members would have a total of 20 years experience.

5 Comments leave one →
  1. Aaron Adams permalink
    December 18, 2010 10:02 am

    I wouldn’t bet on Steven Palazzo still being in office in 2014.

    • MSDawg permalink
      December 19, 2010 11:43 pm

      Who will beat him? Gene will not be able to beat him in 2012 or ever. First, with Obama on the ticket, Gthat will hurt Gene. Second, Gene will not have the resources/money to mount a campaign unless he miraculously finds the ability to raise money. Most of his money came from PACs, and they are not going to give to a challenger. No Tea Party Candidate will beat him either, unless he makes a stupid vote (unlikely).

      Basically, the only way he is not in office in 2014 is if he chooses to run for another office, which I could see him pursuing Cochran’s seat if Thad retires. Along with Harper, Bryant, Stacey Pickering, and many others I am sure.

  2. Travis permalink
    December 18, 2010 7:14 pm

    I was thinking the same thing. For the 4th to be the most conservative in the country(Cook PVI), his win wasn’t by a huge margin. The tea partiers weren’t 100% behind him. We will see how he votes.

  3. Chickamauga permalink
    December 18, 2010 7:41 pm

    Well, Palazzo was running against a fairly entrenched incumbent…one whom even more prominent Republicans had failed to dislodge. In my view, all he’ll have to do to keep his seat is be a run-of-the-mill conservative Republican member of the House.

  4. December 18, 2010 8:16 pm

    I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: The three Republicans in the House will likely vote together on just about every issue.

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