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Early Look At Competitive House Races

February 16, 2011

As we continue to gather data and races develop, we will be tracking state legislative races with great detail. Currently, Democrats have a 69-53 majority in the House with Republicans needing to pick up eight seats for their first outright majority since Reconstruction. For now, here is a quick look at potentially competitive races:

If you want more detail on these races, consider purchasing our five page PDF with more information on the incumbents, challengers, and districts.

HD 2: Harvey Moss (D-Corinth). Alcorn voters are familiar with Moss (first elected in 1984), but Republicans have lined up a very strong challenger in Corinth Alderman Chip Wood. Haley Barbour won 59 percent here in 2007.

HD 4: Greg Ward (D-Ripley). This has a similar background as HD 2 with a lot of North Mississippi blue dog voters who have long voted Democrat at the local level, but Republican at the statewide level. Republicans have already lined up one candidate- Jimmy Benefield, a retired military man- with another ready to announce real soon.

HD 10: Warner McBride (D-Courtland). McBride’s plans are still up in the air as he hasn’t qualified yet. If he wants another run at transportation commish, he needs to qualify by March 1. Doug Jones of Batesville is in the race and Republicans believe this district that was very friendly to Haley Barbour four years ago will support a Republican legislator this time around.

HD 25: John Mayo (D-Clarksdale). For Mayo, his biggest challenge may be redistricting. Considering the size of Desoto, it’s a little odd to see someone from Coahoma representing any part of the county. Mayo’s district may be in for a big change whether than means adding or losing black voters (about 35 percent today). Republican Mike Martin is in.

HD 45: Bennett Malone (D-Carthage). Malone’s 2007 challenger Jay Mathis is back for another run although I am told a stronger candidate is likely to enter on the Republican side. Again, this is a Democratic district on the county level, but Republican statewide. Worth pointing out that Malone has not qualified yet.

HD 105: Shaun Walley (D-Leakesville). In a district that Barbour won about 52 percent four years ago, attorney Dennis DeBar is the first Republican to qualify.

HD 111: Brandon Jones (D-Pascagoula). This may very well be the most heated race of the year. Republicans are very excited about Charles Busby, who is the CEO of Orion Engineering, but no one thinks it will be easy. The 111th is the most Republican district (in terms of support for Barbour) held by a Democrat.

Two things that all these races have in common: 1) All of these district were won by Haley Barbour- pretty convincingly in most cases. 2) All of these men voted for Billy Mccoy over Jeff Smith.

This is just a snap shot. For a five page PDF with more detail on the incumbents, challengers, and district happenings, you can click here to purchase the premium content for just $9.99.

4 Comments leave one →
  1. Republican Dawg permalink
    February 16, 2011 4:18 pm

    Chip Wood is the real deal in the HD2 race. This is a VERY good opporunity for Republicans.

    • Scott Nunley permalink
      February 16, 2011 5:42 pm

      Chip Wood is anti business and a disgrace as a Republican

  2. Bill permalink
    March 1, 2011 2:34 pm

    Harvey is beatable, but Chip is not the one to do it. He will not win a precinct outside his home box.

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