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We Still Have Congressional Redistricting

April 18, 2011

If I was a betting man, I’d say it is a safe bet that we will see far less drama with Congressional redistricting- something we have heard very little of- than with legislative redistricting. Congressmen don’t have to run until 2012 so there is some time to breathe with this and without the need to add or collapse a district there will likely be little controversy.

Same demographics are obviously in affect as with the state legislature. The Mississippi River counties- mainly represented by Bennie Thompson have seen major loses meaning the Second will be adding population. This will be coming from the First and Third which saw significant gains over the past 10 years. Growth in the Fourth was basically in line with the state average.

Had Travis Childers won re-election, there would likely have been some tension between he and Thompson over black voters currently in the First District. Childers would have likely wanted to keep as many black voters as possible, while Thompson probably wouldn’t have wanted to see additional white voters in his district. That is obviously a moot point.

Thanks to technology such as Daves Redistricting App, anybody is able to draw district lines using current population figures. And that is exactly what we did. And we did it all with a deviation of under 1,000 people (out of more than 734,000 people in each district). This map is a pretty safe map in my opinion. For the most part, just made slight changes to reflect population growth. I am going to have specific posts over the next few days looking at the changes, but here are the counties affected: Adams, Attala, Choctaw, Franklin, Jasper, Jones, Leake, Madison, Marion, Panola, Tate, Webster, Wilkinson, and Winston. Seems like more than it really is.

There is a small shot of what I came up with to the right, but to see the full-size image, click here. And for comparison, here is the current map.

The main thinking behind the map was to keep the demographics of each district at about the same level as they were for the 2002 map, have as few counties as possible split up, and set the deviation of each district at about the lowest numbers possible to do all this.

Despite the shifts in population, demographic breakdowns of each district do not change much. MS-01 was 71 percent white; it is down to 70 percent. MS-02 was 63 percent black; it is up to 66 percent black. MS-03 was 64 percent white; it is down to 63 percent white. MS-04 was 73 percent white; it is down to 71 percent white. Worth pointing out that in MS-01, MS-03, and MS-04, the white percentage has gone down some but what has gone up is not necessarily the black percentage but Hispanic percentage (up a percentage or two in each).

Note: This is just me having some fun drawing up maps, anyone can do it! I am not saying this is necessarily what we will see.

2 Comments leave one →
  1. jack bauer permalink
    April 20, 2011 9:54 am

    I love the way you “gerrymandered” the south Madison County boxes into the Third. Ironic because Gregg Harper has reportedly made three “concessions” already to Bennie Thompson just so Gregg can keep a certain, well-known GOP financier in Gregg’s district.

  2. April 20, 2011 10:35 am

    The only change in Madison is moving the Ratliff Ferry precinct to MS02. Other than that, I made no changes. That is how it looks now.

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