A Quick Look At 2012 (And 2014)
With all of our attention on the primaries that will take place in two weeks and the November elections, I let the 2011 second quarter fundraising period for federal office holders pass by. Not going to delve into a whole lot this early, but the numbers are interesting- and with the primary potential in a four of the five races next fall it could get interesting.
As we have mentioned, Roger Wicker is up for re-election next fall. Right now, he’s sitting on $1.5 million in cash, has continued to be a consistently conservative vote, and I would be shocked to see a serious Democratic challenger emerge. As for the potential for a primary, that seems less and less likely every day; not like I think his campaign was losing much sleep over it to begin with.
The senior senator in the state- Thad Cochran- isn’t up until 2014 and he isn’t raising much money at this point. He would win re-election without spending a dime, but he still looks like a very likely candidate for retirement.
If recent history continues, his replacement will come from the House. Gregg Harper, the senior (two terms) and safest Republican in the delegation, has the least amount of money at $39,000 in cash. As for Steven Palazzo and Alan Nunnelee who already have Republicans wanting to run against them in the primary, they have $144,000 and $283,000 COH, respectively. Nunnelee actually raised the most money for the House delegation over the past three months, but Bennie Thompson continues to sit on- and spend- the most cash. He has more than $1.6 million in cash and spent $176,000. That is about double what anyone else spent (and close to what Nunnelee, Harper, Palazzo, and Cochran spent combined).
And as we have noted in the past, Thompson does have an announced primary challenge from Greenville Mayor Heather McTeer.