More Data On Competitive Districts
Yesterday when I looked at the competitive House races, the main data I used in addition to demographics was Haley Barbour’s vote total in that district in 2007. I decided to expand on that model some and look at the vote received by Phil Bryant, Al Hopkins, and Delbert Hosemann in that same year.
And some of this data is pretty interesting. Barbour, Bryant, and Hosemann didn’t necessarily receive similar votes. In some cases, Hosemann outperformed the top of the ticket, in others he ran well behind Barbour. And as you’d imagine, Jim Hood won just about everywhere. Of these 25 competitive districts, the only he didn’t carry was HD 4. But Hood isn’t your usual Democrat as we know.
But overall the Republican percentage in every district went down when I looked at all four races. The GOP did, however, still did manage to receive at least 50 percent in 21 of the 25 districts included.