Could Be A Long 4 Years For Some Dems
This year a number of longtime Democrats, who entered the House when the party held 118 or 119 seats in that chamber, made the decision to retire. Perhaps they saw the sea change coming. This includes the likes of J.P. Compretta, Harvey Moss, Warner McBride, Jack Gadd, and most notably, Billy McCoy. Many other Democrats decided to stay on. Some have lost their re-election bid such as Diane Peranich and Dirk Dedeaux.
Then you have other Democrats who look like they will be coming back to a much different House. Bennett Malone is up by about 100 votes. He may or may not be back. Others such as Tommy Reynolds, Johnny Stringer and Steve Holland had an easier time, but the end result is the same.
Do you think Malone is going to be chairman of Corrections under a Republican Speaker? Or is Stringer going to hold on to his Appropriations chair? Or Holland, probably the most outspoken Democrat in Mississippi, is he going to remain as Public Health chair? And then there is Reynolds, the mastermind behind the House redistricting plan, you really think he’s going to chair Reapportionment? (If any of them are back in those chairs, Republicans should revolt against the leadership that put them there).
Rather, these men are likely to be placed on the sidelines as Republicans were for the past four years. When they see what it’s like on the “other side” for the first time, I wouldn’t be surprised to see more of these longtime incumbents decide to hang it up in four years.
And if the Democrats were indeed to lose nine seats, they would be at 59 members. Unless there was some change during the primaries that I am not aware of, 37 of those members are black. You can do that math and calculate that 22 are white. After the election four years ago, there were 38 white Democrats in the caucus. We can see which direction that is headed. This is very similar to what has happened in Alabama and Georgia, which have also shed their ancestral Democratic roots over the past few years.